Free Tool

Bid / No-Bid Decision Calculator

Score 10 weighted factors to get an objective bid/no-bid recommendation. Stop wasting estimating hours on tenders you should not be chasing.

Project Value Alignment

5% weight

How well does the project size and scope align with your company's sweet-spot? Projects too large strain resources; too small waste overhead.

Poor fitPerfect fit5

Technical Capability

15% weight

Does your team have proven experience delivering this type of work? Consider specialised trades, certifications, and past project references.

No experienceDeep expertise5

Resource Availability

12% weight

Are your key personnel, equipment, and subcontractors available for the project timeline? Over-commitment kills delivery quality.

Fully committedFully available5

Competition Levelinverse

8% weight

How many qualified competitors are likely bidding? More competition means lower win probability and margin pressure.

Many competitorsFew competitors5

Client Relationship

10% weight

Do you have an existing relationship with the client or consultant? Repeat clients and trusted relationships dramatically improve win rates.

Unknown clientStrong relationship5

Profit Margin Potential

15% weight

What margins can you realistically achieve? Consider material costs, labour rates, preliminary costs, and the client's budget expectations.

Razor thinHealthy margin5

Strategic Value

5% weight

Does winning this project open doors to a new sector, geography, or client portfolio — even if margins are modest?

No strategic valueHigh strategic value5

Risk Levelinverse

15% weight

Consider payment risk, scope ambiguity, design completeness, site conditions, and contractual terms. High risk needs high reward.

High riskLow risk5

Timeline Feasibility

12% weight

Is the project schedule realistic? Compressed timelines mean overtime costs, quality risks, and penalty exposure.

Impossible deadlineComfortable timeline5

Bid Cost vs Reward

3% weight

What's the cost of preparing this bid relative to the potential contract value? Complex bids with low win probability burn estimating capacity.

High cost, low rewardLow cost, high reward5

Adjust the sliders and calculate

Score each factor from 1 to 10 based on your assessment of the tender opportunity, then hit Calculate Verdict.

How the Bid/No-Bid Matrix Works

01

Score 10 Factors

Rate each factor from 1 (worst) to 10 (best) based on your knowledge of the tender. Inverse factors like Risk and Competition are auto-adjusted.

02

Weighted Calculation

Each factor carries a research-backed weight. Technical Capability, Margin, and Risk carry 15% each. The formula produces a single score from 1 to 10.

03

Get Your Verdict

Score 7+ means BID. Between 5 and 6.9 means CONDITIONAL — proceed with caution. Below 5 means NO BID. Plus you get risk flags and tailored recommendations.

Factor Weights

FactorWeightInverse
Project Value Alignment5%No
Technical Capability15%No
Resource Availability12%No
Competition Level8%Yes
Client Relationship10%No
Profit Margin Potential15%No
Strategic Value5%No
Risk Level15%Yes
Timeline Feasibility12%No
Bid Cost vs Reward3%No

Frequently Asked Questions

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